Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.4#18
Expected Predictive Rating+14.8#20
Pace77.3#46
Improvement-2.4#281

Offense
Total Offense+12.0#3
First Shot+10.9#1
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#97
Layup/Dunks+7.5#2
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#75
Freethrows-2.5#321
Improvement+0.6#160

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#85
First Shot+5.0#42
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#316
Layups/Dunks+2.8#63
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#322
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
Freethrows+5.5#1
Improvement-3.0#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 26.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 97.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round77.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen41.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.0% n/a n/a
Final Four7.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.1% n/a n/a
National Champion1.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 47   Colorado W 68-62 68%     1 - 0 +16.5 -5.4 +21.2
  Nov 16, 2015 348   Chicago St. W 106-64 99.5%    2 - 0 +22.9 +1.9 +11.8
  Nov 23, 2015 106   Chattanooga W 83-63 89%     3 - 0 +21.7 +8.0 +12.7
  Nov 27, 2015 61   Virginia Tech W 99-77 73%     4 - 0 +30.9 +21.4 +7.5
  Nov 28, 2015 109   Illinois W 84-73 86%     5 - 0 +14.9 +12.5 +2.3
  Dec 01, 2015 158   North Dakota St. W 84-64 94%     6 - 0 +17.5 +8.3 +8.2
  Dec 07, 2015 136   Buffalo W 84-63 93%     7 - 0 +20.0 +3.2 +14.9
  Dec 10, 2015 21   Iowa W 83-82 63%     8 - 0 +13.0 +9.5 +3.4
  Dec 13, 2015 344   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-64 99%     9 - 0 -3.8 -1.0 -3.1
  Dec 19, 2015 80   Northern Iowa L 79-81 79%     9 - 1 +5.0 +10.6 -5.6
  Dec 22, 2015 32   @ Cincinnati W 81-79 51%     10 - 1 +17.1 +19.0 -1.9
  Dec 30, 2015 329   Coppin St. W 104-84 99%     11 - 1 +4.7 +11.9 -9.6
  Jan 02, 2016 8   @ Oklahoma L 83-87 31%     11 - 2 0 - 1 +16.6 +13.5 +3.4
  Jan 06, 2016 40   Texas Tech W 76-69 76%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +15.0 -0.4 +14.8
  Jan 09, 2016 20   Baylor L 89-94 63%     12 - 3 1 - 2 +7.0 +9.4 -1.8
  Jan 12, 2016 30   @ Texas L 91-94 OT 49%     12 - 4 1 - 3 +12.7 +17.2 -4.2
  Jan 16, 2016 49   @ Kansas St. W 76-63 58%     13 - 4 2 - 3 +26.3 +12.0 +14.4
  Jan 18, 2016 8   Oklahoma W 82-77 52%     14 - 4 3 - 3 +19.8 +16.1 +3.6
  Jan 23, 2016 113   @ TCU W 73-60 80%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +19.4 -1.5 +19.5
  Jan 25, 2016 1   Kansas W 85-72 39%     16 - 4 5 - 3 +31.4 +17.2 +13.7
  Jan 30, 2016 16   @ Texas A&M L 62-72 37%     16 - 5 +8.7 -3.5 +12.6
  Feb 02, 2016 6   West Virginia L 76-81 48%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +10.9 +7.6 +3.5
  Feb 06, 2016 82   @ Oklahoma St. W 64-59 71%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +14.7 +9.8 +5.9
  Feb 10, 2016 40   @ Texas Tech L 82-85 OT 56%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +10.8 +13.1 -2.2
  Feb 13, 2016 30   Texas W 85-75 70%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +19.9 +16.0 +3.7
  Feb 16, 2016 20   @ Baylor L 91-100 OT 41%     18 - 8 7 - 6 +8.8 +19.7 -10.4
  Feb 20, 2016 113   TCU W 92-83 91%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +9.6 +17.2 -8.2
  Feb 22, 2016 6   @ West Virginia L 87-97 27%     19 - 9 8 - 7 +11.7 +16.3 -3.5
  Feb 27, 2016 49   Kansas St. W 80-61 78%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +26.4 +19.3 +8.8
  Feb 29, 2016 82   Oklahoma St. W 58-50 86%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +11.9 -5.9 +18.5
  Mar 05, 2016 1   @ Kansas L 78-85 20%     21 - 10 10 - 8 +17.2 +17.3 -0.2
  Mar 10, 2016 8   Oklahoma L 76-79 41%     21 - 11 +14.7 +5.1 +9.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.1 0.0 2.5 23.6 39.4 31.8 2.6 0.0 100.0%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.1 0.0 2.5 23.6 39.4 31.8 2.6 0.0 100.0%